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[DAILY TRADING] SpaceX Stock (SPCX) Analysis 1 July 2026 – $170.86 as Nasdaq-100 Countdown Begins

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Vantage Updated Wed, 2026 July 1 07:13

SpaceX stock (NASDAQ: SPCX) was trading at $170.86 on the Vantage SPCX CFD as of 06:33 UTC on 1 July 2026, up +0.20% in early session activity. The stock debuted on Nasdaq on 12 June 2026 after pricing its IPO at $135 per share, briefly peaked at an all-time high of $225.64 on 16 June 2026, then pulled back sharply before recovering through the final week of June.

SpaceX news today is dominated by two near-term events: Nasdaq-100 inclusion effective 7 July 2026, and reported partnership talks with Charter Communications over a Starlink consumer mobile service. See all stock market news here.

Charts are indicative and from TradingView. This is not financial advice.

Key points

  • SpaceX stock price (SPCX) stood at $170.86 as of 06:33 UTC on 1 July 2026. Both the MA50 (161.06) and MA200 (164.13) are now below current price. RSI reads 62.22 per the TradingView setup used for this analysis.
  • SPCX joins the Nasdaq-100 on 7 July 2026. Analysts estimate index-tracking funds could purchase approximately $4.3 billion of SPCX shares following inclusion.
  • SpaceX valuation stands near $2.1 trillion. The SpaceX IPO raised approximately $75 billion, the largest on record, and the company reported a net loss of $4.28 billion in Q1 2026. Starlink accounted for 69% of that quarter’s revenue.

SpaceX stock price chart: reading the 15-minute setup

SpaceX stock price chart as of July 1, 2026
Figure 1: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) 15-minute chart, NASDAQ. (TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-SPCX/) Accessed on 1 July 2026. Data indicative, for informational purposes only.

The chart covers 15 June to 1 July 2026 on a 15-minute timeframe. Three phases stand out clearly. SPCX spiked to an all-time high of $225.64 on 16 June, two trading days after the IPO, before the initial post-IPO rally faded and selling pressure intensified through the week of 17 to 23 June. RSI on the TradingView setup used for this analysis fell to approximately 22 at the 23 June trough, marking the most oversold reading in the post-IPO period. SPCX reached its post-IPO low of $147.11 that day.

Recovery from the lows has been gradual and steady. By 30 June, SPCX had climbed back above both the MA50 (161.06) and the MA200 (164.13), which are the two moving averages shown on the chart. As of 06:33 UTC on 1 July 2026, the SpaceX stock price sat at $170.86, approaching a horizontal resistance area near $174 to $175 that formed during the mid-June descent.

RSI reads 62.22, with the moving-average overlay at 63.40, both below overbought territory. Volume on the Vantage CFD feed stood at 250.66K for the session to that point.

SpaceX IPO, Nasdaq-100 inclusion and the Starlink mobile talks

SpaceX IPO, Nasdaq-100 inclusion and the Starlink mobile talks

The SpaceX IPO debuted on Nasdaq on 12 June 2026 after pricing at $135 per share and raised approximately $75 billion, making it one of the largest public listings ever completed.[1] The stock opened at $150, and the SpaceX valuation briefly reached $2.25 trillion before the post-IPO correction. It has since stabilised near the first-day close level.

SpaceX news on index inclusion arrived on 27 June 2026, when Nasdaq confirmed SPCX would join the Nasdaq-100 before market open on 7 July, under fast-track rules allowing entry as soon as 15 trading days after an IPO.[2] Analysts at Motley Fool, citing index inclusion data, estimated that index-tracking funds could purchase approximately $4.3 billion of SPCX shares following the rebalancing.[3]

On the commercial side, Bloomberg reported on 28 June 2026 that SpaceX held executive-level talks with Charter Communications about a consumer mobile partnership.[4] Under the reported framework, Charter would route SpaceX mobile traffic through its terrestrial broadband network, helping fill gaps in Starlink Mobile’s urban coverage.

Charter has 29.6 million internet customers and 12.1 million Spectrum Mobile lines as of Q1 2026. Neither company has officially confirmed the talks. Gwynne Shotwell said Starlink Mobile could eventually exceed the home broadband business in subscriber scale, in a separate interview with CNBC.[5]

Key levels for the SPCX CFD

LevelPrice (USD)Note
All-time high$225.6416 Jun 2026
Resistance zone$174 to $175Horizontal level, mid-June descent
Current price$170.8606:33 UTC, 1 Jul 2026
MA200 (200-period, close)$164.13Chart header; price now above
MA50 (50-period, close)$161.06Chart header; price now above
Post-IPO low$147.1123 Jun 2026
IPO listing price$135.0012 Jun 2026

Table 1: Key SPCX price levels as of 06:33 UTC, 1 July 2026. Sources: TradingView, Investing.com. Indicative only, for informational purposes only.

What to watch: upcoming events and news for SpaceX

  • Nasdaq-100 rebalancing, 6 to 7 July 2026: Index funds tracking the Nasdaq-100, including QQQ, are expected to buy SPCX at or after market close on 6 July, with inclusion effective at open on 7 July.
  • Charter Communications talks: No official confirmation has been issued. Any formal announcement of a mobile partnership could serve as a near-term SpaceX news catalyst.
  • SpaceX earnings, 6 August 2026: The next scheduled results release. With a Q1 net loss of $4.28 billion and the SpaceX stock price trading at approximately 54 times forward sales according to analyst consensus estimates, how the company frames its profitability path carries weight.
  • Resistance near $174 to $175: The horizontal zone from the mid-June descent on the SpaceX stock price chart is the nearest reference area above current price.

Many market participants monitor the MA50 and MA200 zone ($161 to $164) as a technical reference area relative to the current recovery structure. The post-IPO low near $147 represents a wider structural level used by some participants. These are observational reference points, not recommendations.

CFDs on SPCX carry leverage, which amplifies both gains and losses relative to the underlying price movement. SPCX has shown intraday ranges exceeding 10% in individual sessions since the SpaceX IPO. Position sizing relative to account equity warrants careful review ahead of the Nasdaq-100 rebalancing on 6 July 2026 and the earnings release on 6 August 2026.

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RISK WARNING: CFDs are complex financial instruments and carry a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should ensure you fully understand the risks involved and carefully consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money before trading.

Disclaimer: The information is provided for educational purposes only and doesn’t take into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances, or needs. It does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to seek independent advice if necessary. The information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained within. This material may contain historical or past performance figures and should not be relied on. Furthermore estimates, forward-looking statements, and forecasts cannot be guaranteed. The information on this site and the products and services offered are not intended for distribution to any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

References

[1] “Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) – Yahoo Finance” https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/ Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[2] “SpaceX to join Nasdaq-100, effective July 7, 2026 – Seeking Alpha” https://seekingalpha.com/news/4607865-spacex-to-join-nasdaq-100-effective-july-7-2026 Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[3] “SpaceX Will Join the Nasdaq-100 on July 7 – Yahoo Finance” https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-join-nasdaq-100-july-193319413.html Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[4] “SpaceX, Charter discussed mobile phone partnership in U.S. – Fortune” https://fortune.com/2026/06/27/spacex-charter-communications-mobile-phone-partnership-us-starlink/ Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[5] “SpaceX reportedly plans a Starlink mobile service for US consumers – Neowin” https://www.neowin.net/news/spacex-reportedly-plans-a-starlink-mobile-service-for-us-consumers/ Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[6] “SpaceX stock tanks 16%, extending slump following post-IPO rally – CNBC” https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/22/spacex-stock-ipo-rally-selloff.html Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[7] “Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock – TradingView” https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-SPCX/ Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[8] “SpaceX Stock: IPO Date, Share Price & News – Investing.com” https://www.investing.com/equities/spacex Accessed on 1 July 2026.

[9] “SpaceX Could Acquire T-Mobile As It Expands Into Wireless – Forbes” https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2026/06/25/spacex-could-acquire-t-mobile-as-it-expands-into-wireless-analyst-says/ Accessed on 1 July 2026.